1. Joint Modeling
1.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 4000000 iteration;
- 3000000 burn-in;
- 1000 thinning.
1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum 0.999 1.00
## LDevsum 1.001 1.01
## dh0 1.003 1.01
## dh1 1.002 1.01
## dh2 1.006 1.03
## dh3 1.003 1.00
## dl0 1.001 1.01
## dl1 1.003 1.02
## dl2 1.005 1.03
## dl3 1.003 1.02
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.01
1.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
1.4 WAIC results
| LevelH | LevelL | |
|---|---|---|
| DIC | 1208.16991 | 22190.0087 |
| DIC3 | 1150.94079 | 22211.4544 |
| PWAIC | 41.54979 | 245.9433 |
| WAIC | 1176.99510 | 22233.4022 |
2. Separate Modeling of High-Level
2.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 4000000 iteration;
- 3000000 burn-in;
- 1000 thinning.
2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum 1.00 1.00
## dh0 1.02 1.06
## dh1 1.04 1.15
## dh2 1.02 1.09
## dh3 1.00 1.00
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.04
2.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
2.4 WAIC results
| H4 | |
|---|---|
| DIC | 1358.50636 |
| DIC3 | 1235.81461 |
| PWAIC | 86.58346 |
| WAIC | 1302.12921 |
3. Separate Modeling for Low-level
3.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 4000000 iteration;
- 3000000 burn-in;
- 1000 thinning.
3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## LDevsum 1.001 1.001
## dl0 1.004 1.022
## dl1 1.004 1.020
## dl2 0.999 0.999
## dl3 1.001 1.008
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.01
3.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
3.4 WAIC results
| L7a | |
|---|---|
| DIC | 22335.6858 |
| DIC3 | 22316.9560 |
| PWAIC | 315.3023 |
| WAIC | 22353.2432 |